July 10th – Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies (-170)
Date: July 10th
Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Pitchers: Duke vs Blanton
Bet: Phillies -170
Reasoning:
Zack Duke has allowed 8 HR in his past seven starts. His FB/GB ratio over that time has been 87/76. Not too shabby, not that great when heading into Philly.
Blanton is coming off of a solid start, inducing 13 GB vs 6 FB, going 7.1 IP with 0 ER.
Key bullpen members have pitched well for the Phillies over the past week. Madson has throw 4.2 perfect innings, Lidge has allowed only 1 ER and 4 baserunners vs 7 K in 4 IP. Walker, Durbin and Taschner have also not allowed a run this past week.
Phillies bats such as Rollins, Utley, Victorino and Werth all have week OPS stats over 1.1. This has obviously been skewed by the blowout win earlier in the week.
Accuscore gives the Phillies a high 65% chance of winning.
I’m not a fan of laying down much over -160 in baseball but I’ll break my rule this time around and take the -170 line on the Phils over at Beted.
Update: The Phillies got the job done 3-2. This victory puts us at a 1-1 record for the season on website picks.