July 19th Lock - Boston Red Sox +$102

Date: July 19th

Teams: Boston at Toronto

Pitching: Lester vs Halladay

Lester owns the Jays, while conversely Halladay has a difficult time with the Red Sox. Lester has held Aaron Hill to a .167 OPS, and #3 hitter Adam Lind to a .282 OPS. Only two Jays have had success vs Lester, leadoff hitter Marco Scutaro (.849) and #6 hitter Alex Rios .830.

On the other hand Roy Halladay has allowed Bay and Ellsbury to post 1.1+ OPS, .900+ marks to Drew and Youkilis and a .838 OPS to Ortiz. That gives the Red Sox lineup five players with strong career numbers vs Roy.

Boston is the dog in this game, a rarity. They are 13 - 8 as a dog this season. Conversely Toronto is 25-23 as a favorite. Boston is 4-1 in it’s past five while Toronto is 4-13 in it’s past 17.

The Jays are 0-3 in Halladay’s past three starts, while Boston is 3-0 in Lester’s three most recent outings.

Too many numbers stack up in Boston’s favor.

Bet: $100 at Bodog to win $102

Update: Mark this down as a lose. The Red Sox ran into a hot Halladay, as the Doc pitched a complete game in under 105 pitches. Boston dropped the game 3-1, with all three Jays RBI coming from #8 hitter Rod Barajas. Jon Lester battled control issues all game, walking a season high. We’re now sitting at 2-2 on the season with our website based picks.